Projected Income Statement: NIO Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: NIO Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -37,422 -22,896 -26,881 -2,159 -2,044 -21,347 -31,295 -41,817
Change - 38.82% -17.4% 91.97% 5.33% -944.33% -46.6% -33.62%
Announcement Date 24/3/22 1/3/23 5/3/24 21/3/25 10/3/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NIO Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,079 6,973 14,341 9,142 6,065 7,341 7,241 7,423
Change - 70.96% 105.67% -36.25% -33.66% 21.04% -1.36% 2.51%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,112 -10,839 -15,722 -16,991 -3,073 2,479 9,363 7,379
Change - -413.11% -45.06% -8.07% 81.92% 180.69% 277.65% -21.19%
Announcement Date 24/3/22 1/3/23 5/3/24 21/3/25 10/3/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NIO Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -7.72% -21.3% -30.4% -21.41% -7.88% 6.27% 7.87% 8.7%
EBIT Margin (%) -12.44% -31.75% -36.47% -30.34% -16.05% -0.42% 1.25% 2.56%
EBT Margin (%) -11% -29.19% -36.78% -34.12% -16.94% -0.89% 1.02% 2.7%
Net margin (%) -29.26% -29.55% -38.02% -34.47% -17.8% -1.21% 0.56% 2.25%
FCF margin (%) -5.85% -22% -28.27% -25.85% -3.51% 1.81% 6% 4.23%
FCF / Net Income (%) 19.98% 74.45% 74.35% 74.99% 19.73% -150.43% 1,070.81% 188.23%

Profitability

        
ROA -15.38% -16.25% -17.29% -18.12% -10.72% -0.37% 1.04% 3.76%
ROE -34.17% -49.71% -74.77% -129.35% -245.54% -5.55% 13.07% 29.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.29% 14.15% 25.78% 13.91% 6.93% 5.37% 4.64% 4.26%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -146.28% -66.46% -84.82% -64.98% -87.97% 85.72% 59.02% 48.95%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -193.09% -64.33% -91.21% -53.81% -197.4% 296.1% 77.34% 100.59%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.25 -2.362 -0.8126 -3.82 1.76 7.84 6.112 3.308
Change - -288.88% 65.59% -370.14% 146.07% 345.42% -22.04% -45.87%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 21.12 14.58 15.03 2.904 1.83 3.6 4.291 5.957
Change - -30.96% 3.05% -80.67% -36.98% 96.69% 19.21% 38.82%
EPS 1 -6.72 -8.89 -12.44 -11.03 -6.85 -0.7744 0.5246 1.786
Change - -32.29% -39.93% 11.33% 37.9% 88.7% 167.74% 240.41%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,590,573 1,652,453 2,079,974 2,076,918 2,528,452 2,502,715 2,502,715 2,502,715
Announcement Date 24/3/22 1/3/23 5/3/24 21/3/25 10/3/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -43.8x 64.7x
PBR 9.43x 7.91x
EV / Sales 0.47x 0.34x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
33.94CNY
Average target price
48.87CNY
Spread / Average Target
+44.01%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

-40%: Exceptional extension
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