Projected Income Statement: MPLX LP

Forecast Balance Sheet: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 18,558 19,558 19,383 19,429 23,516 24,905 25,837 26,726
Change - 5.39% -0.89% 0.24% 21.04% 5.91% 3.74% 3.44%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 31/1/23 30/1/24 4/2/25 3/2/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 596 806 937 1,056 1,808 2,599 1,855 1,721
Change - 35.23% 16.25% 12.7% 71.21% 43.77% -28.64% -7.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,399 4,213 4,135 3,942 1,033 3,372 4,303 4,955
Change - -4.23% -1.85% -4.67% -73.8% 226.39% 27.63% 15.14%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 31/1/23 30/1/24 4/2/25 3/2/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 55.45% 49.73% 55.57% 56.68% 53.99% 56.36% 56.67% 56.22%
EBIT Margin (%) 39.81% 42.29% 43.44% 44.31% 45.72% 43.44% 44.29% 43.85%
EBT Margin (%) 31.05% 34.32% 35.25% 36.6% 38.16% 35.25% 36.74% 37.13%
Net margin (%) 29.28% 32.85% 33.94% 35.95% 37.79% 34.77% 36.04% 36.28%
FCF margin (%) 43.87% 36.28% 36.65% 33.03% 7.95% 26.14% 31.18% 33.84%
FCF / Net Income (%) 149.83% 110.43% 107.99% 91.89% 21.03% 75.19% 86.51% 93.29%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.16% 10.72% 10.61% 11.59% 12.2% 10.8% 11.5% 12.6%
ROE 23.89% 27.15% 29.75% 32.96% 35.24% 31.96% 36.4% 39.43%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.34x 3.39x 3.09x 2.87x 3.35x 3.43x 3.3x 3.25x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.22x 4.64x 4.69x 4.93x 22.76x 7.39x 6x 5.39x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.94% 6.94% 8.31% 8.85% 13.91% 20.15% 13.44% 11.76%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.72% 13.96% 14.95% 15.61% 25.77% 35.76% 23.72% 20.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 13.55% 19.13% 22.66% 26.79% 175.02% 77.1% 43.11% 34.74%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.782 4.969 5.386 5.847 5.799 5.999 6.557 -
Change - 3.92% 8.39% 8.55% -0.82% 3.45% 9.3% -
Dividend per Share 1 3.36 2.96 3.25 3.613 4.066 4.527 5.058 5.581
Change - -11.9% 9.8% 11.17% 12.54% 11.33% 11.74% 10.34%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.5 12.31 12.66 13.35 14.09 14.3 14.38 14.24
Change - 7.06% 2.86% 5.4% 5.56% 1.52% 0.53% -0.98%
EPS 1 2.86 3.75 3.8 4.21 4.82 4.307 4.819 5.176
Change - 31.12% 1.33% 10.79% 14.49% -10.64% 11.9% 7.4%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,019,864 1,003,243 1,001,217 1,018,812 1,017,065 1,014,734 1,014,734 1,014,734
Announcement Date 2/2/22 31/1/23 30/1/24 4/2/25 3/2/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.1x 11.7x
PBR 3.96x 3.94x
EV / Sales 6.38x 6.03x
Yield 8% 8.93%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
56.61USD
Average target price
60.86USD
Spread / Average Target
+7.50%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise