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Analysis: Currencies

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Interest Rates
Supreme Court tariff ruling clouds Fed's rate path after a year of upheaval

Supreme Court tariff ruling clouds Fed's rate path after a year of upheaval

The Supreme Court's ruling against a broad set of the Trump administration's tariffs poses new questions for Federal Reserve policymakers who have spent the last year trying to understand how the...

21 February 2026 at 10:04 am AEDT
RE
Trump nodded to low GDP numbers in social post ahead of public release, blaming shutdown

Trump nodded to low GDP numbers in social post ahead of public release, blaming shutdown

President Donald Trump seemingly flagged a disappointing end-of-year reading on U.S. economic growth before it was made public, criticizing the role Democrats played in an extended government shutdown...

21 February 2026 at 02:26 am AEDT
RE
German finance minister calls talk of ECB president succession 'speculation'

German finance minister calls talk of ECB president succession 'speculation'

German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil said on Friday that discussion of the term length of ECB President Christine Lagarde was speculation, but that when it came time to find a successor, Germany...

21 February 2026 at 12:52 am AEDT
RE
Trade pacts boost foreign inflows, lift rupee, Indian central bank says

Trade pacts boost foreign inflows, lift rupee, Indian central bank says

Foreign portfolio inflows and the rupee have strengthened after India's free trade agreement with the European Union and an interim trade deal with the United States, the Reserve Bank of India said in...

21 February 2026 at 12:07 am AEDT
RE
Euro zone businesses perform better than expected in February as manufacturing bounces back, PMI shows

Euro zone businesses perform better than expected in February as manufacturing bounces back, PMI shows

Euro zone business activity accelerated faster than forecast this month as manufacturing swung back to growth for the first time since October, though the dominant services sector marginally...

20 February 2026 at 08:01 pm AEDT
RE
Dollar set for best week in four months on hawkish Fed, geopolitics

Dollar set for best week in four months on hawkish Fed, geopolitics

The dollar was poised on Friday to cap its strongest weekly performance since October, buoyed by a run of better-than-expected economic data, a more hawkish Federal Reserve outlook and as tensions...

20 February 2026 at 12:27 pm AEDT
RE
Japan's core inflation slows to 2-year low, complicates BOJ rate-hike timing

Japan's core inflation slows to 2-year low, complicates BOJ rate-hike timing

Japan's annual core consumer inflation hit a two-year low to match the central bank's 2% target in January, data showed on Friday, suggesting weakening price pressure that could complicate its...

20 February 2026 at 11:04 am AEDT
RE
Fed's Kashkari:  Hassett comments about Fed researchers represent another attack on independence

Fed's Kashkari: Hassett comments about Fed researchers represent another attack on independence

The call by a top Trump administration official for New York Federal Reserve staff to be disciplined for recent research on tariffs was just the latest move by the administration to undermine the...

20 February 2026 at 02:18 am AEDT
RE
Visa strikes deal for Prisma, Newpay to boost Argentina presence

Visa strikes deal for Prisma, Newpay to boost Argentina presence

Card giant Visa said on Thursday it would buy payment platforms Prisma and Newpay from private-equity firm Advent International, bolstering its presence in Argentina. The deal will help...

20 February 2026 at 02:08 am AEDT
RE
ECB's Lagarde signals no imminent exit as politics and central banks collide

ECB's Lagarde signals no imminent exit as politics and central banks collide

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has told colleagues she remains focussed on her job and she would tell them first if she was about to step down, a message they took to mean she was...

19 February 2026 at 11:38 pm AEDT
RE
Japan may see upheaval of funds when BOJ hikes rates to 1%, economist says

Japan may see upheaval of funds when BOJ hikes rates to 1%, economist says

An expected rise in Japan's short-term interest rate to 1% may trigger a significant reallocation of cash into deposits that could complicate the Bank of Japan's monetary policy implementation, a...

19 February 2026 at 08:50 pm AEDT
RE
ECB's Lagarde hints her exit is not imminent in message to colleagues

ECB's Lagarde hints her exit is not imminent in message to colleagues

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has told colleagues she remains focussed on her job and she would tell them first if she was about to step down, a message they took to mean she was...

19 February 2026 at 08:25 pm AEDT
RE
BOJ to hike policy rate to 1% by end-June, sooner than forecast before election - Reuters poll

BOJ to hike policy rate to 1% by end-June, sooner than forecast before election - Reuters poll

The Bank of Japan is likely to raise its key interest rate to 1% by end-June, according to a majority of economists polled by Reuters, with some expecting a move as soon as April because of mounting...

19 February 2026 at 03:08 pm AEDT
RE
Japan PM faces challenges selling 'proactive' fiscal policy to bond vigilantes

Japan PM faces challenges selling 'proactive' fiscal policy to bond vigilantes

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will likely seek to convince markets her proactive fiscal policies aren't as expansionary as they seem, as legislative deliberations on her flagship spending and...

19 February 2026 at 02:00 pm AEDT
RE
Fed minutes downplay impact of Trump mortgage buying on housing affordability 

Fed minutes downplay impact of Trump mortgage buying on housing affordability 

An effort launched by the Trump administration to improve home borrowing costs is not coming to much so far, meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve's January 27-28 meeting, released on Wednesday,...

19 February 2026 at 07:00 am AEDT
RE
ECB's Schnabel sees no need to leave her board seat early, Bloomberg News reports

ECB's Schnabel sees no need to leave her board seat early, Bloomberg News reports

European Central Bank board member Isabel Schnabel said she plans to stay on for the full duration of her eight-year term, which ends in 2027, Bloomberg News reported on Wednesday. I...

19 February 2026 at 04:38 am AEDT
RE
Japan PM Takaichi hopes BOJ works closely with government to durably hit price goal

Japan PM Takaichi hopes BOJ works closely with government to durably hit price goal

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said on Wednesday she hopes the central bank works closely with the government to durably achieve its 2% inflation target accompanied by wage gains. ...

19 February 2026 at 12:55 am AEDT
RE
ECB succession talk puts Knot and De Cos in frame for top job

ECB succession talk puts Knot and De Cos in frame for top job

The former governors of the Spanish and Dutch central banks are seen as the front-runners to replace Christine Lagarde at the helm of the European Central Bank, likely in a broader political deal that...

19 February 2026 at 12:37 am AEDT
RE
Fed minutes could highlight shift in balance of risks as policymakers put rates on hold

Fed minutes could highlight shift in balance of risks as policymakers put rates on hold

Minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve's January 16-17 meeting released on Wednesday are expected to provide more detail on why central bankers kept interest rates on hold last month and what it may take...

18 February 2026 at 10:03 pm AEDT
RE
ECB's Cipollone has no indication President Lagarde plans early resignation

ECB's Cipollone has no indication President Lagarde plans early resignation

European Central Bank Executive Board Member Piero Cipollone said on Wednesday he had no news about ECB President Christine Lagarde resigning before the end of her term. On Wednesday...

18 February 2026 at 09:26 pm AEDT
RE
12345
The Profit Bubble Test
Today's Editorial

The Profit Bubble Test

Rogers Communications Is Growing with a Steady Core
Stock Analysis

Rogers Communications Is Growing with a Steady Core

Currencies:  The dollar remains strong
Forex

Currencies: The dollar remains strong

The old economy tries to fight back
The Weekly Market Update

The old economy tries to fight back

The S&P 500 wraps up a historic quarter
Indices

The S&P 500 wraps up a historic quarter

China's strategy for bending European industry to its will
Satirical Cartoon

China's strategy for bending European industry to its will

The Fed is Not Just Another Agency
Interest Rates

The Fed is Not Just Another Agency

Commodities:  Silver loses its luster
Commodities

Commodities: Silver loses its luster

UCB:  The Transformation is Complete, Now for the Right Price
Stock Pick

UCB: The Transformation is Complete, Now for the Right Price

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