Projected Income Statement: Volvo

Forecast Balance Sheet: Volvo

Forecast Balance Sheet - Volvo
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -50,400 -61,300 -66,700 -67,200 -48,400 -57,543 -71,635 -83,045
Change - -21.63% -8.81% -0.75% 27.98% -18.89% -24.49% -15.93%
Announcement Date 28/1/22 26/1/23 26/1/24 29/1/25 28/1/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 18,117 20,456 23,387 17,904 25,460 24,997 22,863 24,623
Change - 12.91% 14.33% -23.44% 42.2% -1.82% -8.54% 7.7%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 15,530 12,788 11,130 28,540 20,135 32,488 41,527 46,216
Change - -17.66% -12.97% 156.42% -29.45% 61.35% 27.82% 11.29%
Announcement Date 28/1/22 26/1/23 26/1/24 29/1/25 28/1/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.05% 15.04% 17.89% 16.75% 15.59% 15.67% 16.55% 16.98%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.02% 10.66% 14.05% 12.47% 10.69% 11.56% 12.63% 13.19%
EBT Margin (%) 11.6% 9.52% 12.07% 12.76% 9.89% 11.06% 12.42% 13.11%
Net margin (%) 8.81% 6.91% 9.01% 9.56% 7.19% 8.48% 9.47% 9.83%
FCF margin (%) 4.17% 2.7% 2.01% 5.42% 4.2% 6.53% 7.66% 8.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) 47.37% 39.08% 22.34% 56.64% 58.44% 77.04% 80.87% 82.5%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.39% 5.72% 8.95% 7.16% 5.35% 7.94% 8.47% 9.01%
ROE 21.79% 23.83% 34.26% 26.74% 19.57% 23.03% 25% 25.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.87% 4.32% 4.23% 3.4% 5.31% 5.03% 4.22% 4.32%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.33% 28.73% 23.66% 20.28% 34.08% 32.08% 25.49% 25.45%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 116.66% 159.96% 210.13% 62.73% 126.45% 76.94% 55.06% 53.28%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 16.55 16.35 13.12 22.85 22.43 25.73 36.74 36.8
Change - -1.2% -19.76% 74.15% -1.85% 14.73% 42.78% 0.17%
Dividend per Share 1 13 14 18 18.5 13 15.29 18.33 19.85
Change - 7.69% 28.57% 2.78% -29.73% 17.59% 19.93% 8.27%
Book Value Per Share 1 69.36 80.03 87.45 95.4 87.7 96.96 106.3 114.8
Change - 15.39% 9.28% 9.09% -8.07% 10.55% 9.61% 8.03%
EPS 1 16.12 16.09 24.5 24.78 16.94 20.69 25.15 27.53
Change - -0.19% 52.27% 1.14% -31.64% 22.13% 21.56% 9.47%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452
Announcement Date 28/1/22 26/1/23 26/1/24 29/1/25 28/1/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.9x 12.3x
PBR 3.18x 2.9x
EV / Sales 1.14x 1.02x
Yield 4.96% 5.95%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Volvo


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Volvo
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Volvo
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - Volvo
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
308.10SEK
Average target price
350.03SEK
Spread / Average Target
+13.61%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Volvo