Projected Income Statement: Sagax

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 26,269 31,316 30,315 34,847 38,630 43,698 43,424 43,357
Change - 19.21% -3.2% 14.95% 10.86% 13.12% -0.63% -0.15%
Announcement Date 11/2/22 17/2/23 22/2/24 21/2/25 9/2/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 658 715 902 1,129 978 5,383 940.3 941.7
Change - 8.66% 26.15% 25.17% -13.37% 450.41% -82.53% 0.14%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,236 2,512 2,663 2,222 2,639 -2,171 2,603 2,866
Change - 212.34% 6.01% -16.56% 18.77% -182.27% 219.9% 10.1%
Announcement Date 11/2/22 17/2/23 22/2/24 21/2/25 9/2/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 77.68% 76.68% 78.02% 79.08% 78.75% 78.42% 78.96% 80.11%
EBIT Margin (%) 164.71% 97.24% 99.72% 100.97% 99.26% 101.25% 99.58% 100.1%
EBT Margin (%) 337.59% 88.68% 3.68% 113.21% 83.02% 100.68% 94.91% 94.04%
Net margin (%) 314.02% 72.93% -0.3% 103.79% 74.94% 74.97% 64.86% 64.27%
FCF margin (%) -71.6% 67.4% 61.67% 43.89% 48.85% -38.71% 43.35% 45.92%
FCF / Net Income (%) -22.8% 92.42% -20,484.62% 42.28% 65.19% -51.63% 66.84% 71.44%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.98% 4.05% 5.14% 6.68% - - - -
ROE 37% 8.4% 10.68% 13.5% 9.6% 9.35% 8.36% 7.96%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.83x 10.96x 9x 8.7x 9.08x 9.93x 9.16x 8.67x
Debt / Free cash flow -11.75x 12.47x 11.38x 15.68x 14.64x -20.13x 16.68x 15.13x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 21.07% 19.18% 20.89% 22.3% 18.1% 95.98% 15.66% 15.09%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.12% 25.02% 26.77% 28.2% 22.99% 122.38% 19.84% 18.83%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -29.43% 28.46% 33.87% 50.81% 37.06% -247.95% 36.12% 32.86%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 10.69 10.72 11.03 -
Change - - - - - 0.29% 2.85% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - 3.7 3.734 3.92 4.044
Change - - - - - 0.91% 4.99% 3.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - 133.8 146.9 160.2
Change - - - - - - 9.82% 9.04%
EPS 1 - - - - - 13.71 14.35 14.66
Change - - - - - - 4.64% 2.18%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - - - 464,709 494,709 494,709 494,709
Announcement Date - - - - 9/2/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12x 11.5x
PBR 1.23x 1.12x
EV / Sales 18.7x 17.5x
Yield 2.26% 2.38%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
165.00SEK
Average target price
196.50SEK
Spread / Average Target
+19.09%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise