Projected Income Statement: Sagax

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 26,269 31,316 30,315 34,847 38,630 44,091 43,544 43,232
Change - 19.21% -3.2% 14.95% 10.86% 14.14% -1.24% -0.72%
Announcement Date 11/2/22 17/2/23 22/2/24 21/2/25 9/2/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 658 715 902 1,129 978 2,459 1,019 1,025
Change - 8.66% 26.15% 25.17% -13.37% 151.47% -58.58% 0.61%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,236 2,512 2,663 2,222 2,639 263.5 2,724 2,892
Change - 212.34% 6.01% -16.56% 18.77% -90.02% 933.59% 6.21%
Announcement Date 11/2/22 17/2/23 22/2/24 21/2/25 9/2/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 77.68% 76.68% 78.02% 79.08% 78.75% 77.98% 78.69% 79.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 164.71% 97.24% 99.72% 100.97% 99.26% 105.51% 100.02% 100.27%
EBT Margin (%) 337.59% 88.68% 3.68% 113.21% 83.02% 100.2% 91.51% 90.55%
Net margin (%) 314.02% 72.93% -0.3% 103.79% 74.94% 78.36% 67.31% 66.55%
FCF margin (%) -71.6% 67.4% 61.67% 43.89% 48.85% 4.7% 45.36% 46.34%
FCF / Net Income (%) -22.8% 92.42% -20,484.62% 42.28% 65.19% 6% 67.39% 69.63%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.98% 4.05% 5.14% 6.68% - - - -
ROE 37% 8.4% 10.68% 13.5% 9.6% 10.05% 8.57% 8.17%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.83x 10.96x 9x 8.7x 9.08x 10.08x 9.22x 8.73x
Debt / Free cash flow -11.75x 12.47x 11.38x 15.68x 14.64x 167.33x 15.99x 14.95x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 21.07% 19.18% 20.89% 22.3% 18.1% 43.85% 16.97% 16.42%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.12% 25.02% 26.77% 28.2% 22.99% 56.23% 21.56% 20.7%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -29.43% 28.46% 33.87% 50.81% 37.06% 933.33% 37.41% 35.44%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 10.69 10.72 11.03 -
Change - - - - - 0.29% 2.85% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - 3.7 3.756 3.913 4.029
Change - - - - - 1.51% 4.2% 2.97%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - 136.2 147.6 159.5
Change - - - - - - 8.39% 8.03%
EPS 1 - - - - - 13.94 13.86 14.17
Change - - - - - - -0.54% 2.22%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - - - 464,709 494,709 494,709 494,709
Announcement Date - - - - 9/2/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.3x 12.4x
PBR 1.26x 1.16x
EV / Sales 19.1x 17.8x
Yield 2.19% 2.28%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
171.50SEK
Average target price
196.00SEK
Spread / Average Target
+14.29%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise