Projected Income Statement: Sagax

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 26,269 31,316 30,315 34,847 38,630 44,553 43,945 43,786
Change - 19.21% -3.2% 14.95% 10.86% 15.33% -1.36% -0.36%
Announcement Date 11/2/22 17/2/23 22/2/24 21/2/25 9/2/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 658 715 902 1,129 978 2,459 1,019 1,025
Change - 8.66% 26.15% 25.17% -13.37% 151.47% -58.58% 0.61%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,236 2,512 2,663 2,222 2,639 263.5 2,724 2,892
Change - 212.34% 6.01% -16.56% 18.77% -90.02% 933.59% 6.21%
Announcement Date 11/2/22 17/2/23 22/2/24 21/2/25 9/2/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 77.68% 76.68% 78.02% 79.08% 78.75% 77.98% 78.69% 79.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 164.71% 97.24% 99.72% 100.97% 99.26% 107.85% 100.03% 100.84%
EBT Margin (%) 337.59% 88.68% 3.68% 113.21% 83.02% 97.29% 80.89% 80.08%
Net margin (%) 314.02% 72.93% -0.3% 103.79% 74.94% 83.49% 66.47% 65.66%
FCF margin (%) -71.6% 67.4% 61.67% 43.89% 48.85% 4.7% 45.36% 46.34%
FCF / Net Income (%) -22.8% 92.42% -20,484.62% 42.28% 65.19% 5.63% 68.25% 70.59%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.98% 4.05% 5.14% 6.68% - - - -
ROE 37% 8.4% 10.68% 13.5% 9.6% 10.05% 8.57% 8.17%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.83x 10.96x 9x 8.7x 9.08x 10.19x 9.3x 8.84x
Debt / Free cash flow -11.75x 12.47x 11.38x 15.68x 14.64x 169.08x 16.14x 15.14x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 21.07% 19.18% 20.89% 22.3% 18.1% 43.85% 16.97% 16.42%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.12% 25.02% 26.77% 28.2% 22.99% 56.23% 21.56% 20.7%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -29.43% 28.46% 33.87% 50.81% 37.06% 933.33% 37.41% 35.44%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 10.69 10.72 11.03 -
Change - - - - - 0.29% 2.85% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - 3.7 3.734 3.92 4.044
Change - - - - - 0.91% 4.99% 3.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - 143.4 157.1 171
Change - - - - - - 9.57% 8.79%
EPS 1 - - - - - 13.71 14.35 14.66
Change - - - - - - 4.64% 2.18%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - - - 464,709 494,709 494,709 494,709
Announcement Date - - - - 9/2/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13x 12.4x
PBR 1.24x 1.13x
EV / Sales 19.6x 18.2x
Yield 2.1% 2.2%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
176.00SEK
Average target price
196.50SEK
Spread / Average Target
+11.65%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise