Projected Income Statement: Progressive Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Progressive Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt - 3,323 6,804 - - - - -
Change - - 104.75% - - - - -
Announcement Date 26/1/22 25/1/23 24/1/24 29/1/25 28/1/26 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Progressive Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
CAPEX 1 223.5 243.5 292 252 285 348
Change - 8.95% 19.92% -13.7% 13.1% 22.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -5,334 11,285 3,203 11,529 17,324 11,832
Change - 311.59% -71.62% 259.95% 50.26% -31.7%
Announcement Date 1/3/21 28/2/22 27/2/23 26/2/24 3/3/25 2/3/26
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Progressive Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

         
EBITDA Margin (%) - - - 8.89% - - - - -
EBIT Margin (%) - 9.54% 2.28% 8.4% 14.77% - - - -
EBT Margin (%) - 9.07% 1.81% 7.97% 14.39% 17.1% 15.6% 13.12% 11.88%
Net margin (%) - 7.22% 1.41% 6.34% 11.39% 13.6% 12.26% 10.27% 9.31%
FCF margin (%) - - 12.84% 16.88% - - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - - 908.77% 266.28% - - - - -

Profitability

         
ROA - 4.96% 0.98% 4.75% 8.72% 9.89% 7.8% 6.6% 6.3%
ROE - 12.19% 13% 21.58% 36.98% 38.38% 32.07% 25% 21.67%

Financial Health

         
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.71x 1.03x 3.66x 1.28x 0.62x 0.47x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -1.03x 0.43x 1.97x 0.61x 0.4x 0.59x - - -

Capital Intensity

         
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 0.52% 0.57% 0.41% - - - - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - - 4.61% - - - - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - 4.45% 2.43% - - - - -

Items per share

         
Cash flow per share 1 - - 11.67 - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - 1.9 0.4 1.15 4.9 13.9 9.493 7.249 7.22
Change - - -78.95% 187.5% 326.09% 183.67% -31.7% -23.64% -0.4%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 30.35 26.32 33.8 43.67 51.74 61.99 71.77 79.85
Change - - -13.28% 28.42% 29.2% 18.48% 19.8% 15.79% 11.26%
EPS 1 - 5.66 1.18 6.58 14.4 19.23 18.22 16.51 16.32
Change - - -79.15% 457.63% 118.84% 33.54% -5.23% -9.39% -1.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 585,064 585,070 584,961 585,812 586,397 581,400 581,400 581,400
Announcement Date - 26/1/22 25/1/23 24/1/24 29/1/25 28/1/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.7x 13x
PBR 3.45x 2.98x
EV / Sales 1.42x 1.34x
Yield 4.44% 3.39%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
213.83USD
Average target price
232.67USD
Spread / Average Target
+8.81%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. PGR Stock
  4. Financials Progressive Corporation