Projected Income Statement: Netcare Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Netcare Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,423 9,359 10,020 10,847 11,076 11,353 11,011 10,478
Change - -0.68% 7.06% 8.25% 2.11% 2.5% -3.01% -4.84%
Announcement Date 22/11/21 21/11/22 21/11/23 22/11/24 24/11/25 - - -
1ZAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Netcare Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,132 1,396 1,507 1,519 1,630 1,938 1,691 567
Change - 23.32% 7.95% 0.8% 7.31% 18.87% -12.72% -66.47%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,173 488 373 350 817 1,438 2,134 2,165
Change - -58.4% -23.57% -6.17% 133.43% 76.07% 48.38% 1.43%
Announcement Date 22/11/21 21/11/22 21/11/23 22/11/24 24/11/25 - - -
1ZAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Netcare Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.3% 16.11% 16.84% 17.82% 18.71% 19.02% 19.24% 19.51%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.79% 10.55% 11.46% 12.53% 13.57% 13.95% 14.32% 14.77%
EBT Margin (%) 5.55% 7.09% 7.62% 8.48% 9.58% 10.28% 10.95% 11.94%
Net margin (%) 3.63% 4.68% 5.57% 5.7% 6.38% 7.1% 7.49% 8.28%
FCF margin (%) 5.53% 2.26% 1.57% 1.39% 3.1% 5.22% 7.41% 7.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) 152.54% 48.17% 28.24% 24.37% 48.6% 73.47% 98.91% 86.8%

Profitability

        
ROA - 3.9% 4.89% 5.34% 5.84% 6.13% 6.08% -
ROE 8.07% 11.03% 12.06% 13.66% 15.42% 16.87% 17.27% 15.88%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.9x 2.69x 2.51x 2.42x 2.25x 2.16x 1.99x 1.78x
Debt / Free cash flow 8.03x 19.18x 26.86x 30.99x 13.56x 7.89x 5.16x 4.84x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.34% 6.45% 6.36% 6.03% 6.19% 7.02% 5.87% 1.88%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.9% 40.06% 37.77% 33.82% 33.08% 36.93% 30.49% 9.64%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 96.5% 286.07% 404.02% 434% 199.51% 134.69% 79.22% 26.19%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.715 1.398 1.398 1.44 1.964 2.318 2.567 2.839
Change - -18.51% 0.03% 3% 36.39% 18.01% 10.74% 10.6%
Dividend per Share 1 0.34 0.5 0.65 0.7 0.85 0.971 1.088 1.217
Change - 47.06% 30% 7.69% 21.43% 14.24% 12.03% 11.84%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.429 7.656 8.441 8.753 9.121 8.977 9.73 10.94
Change - 3.06% 10.25% 3.7% 4.2% -1.58% 8.39% 12.38%
EPS 1 0.543 0.717 0.935 1.089 1.329 1.549 1.743 1.987
Change - 32.04% 30.4% 16.47% 22.04% 16.54% 12.54% 14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,335,547 1,337,000 1,331,000 1,248,047 1,218,789 1,177,000 1,177,000 1,177,000
Announcement Date 22/11/21 21/11/22 21/11/23 22/11/24 24/11/25 - - -
1ZAR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.7x 10.4x
PBR 2.02x 1.86x
EV / Sales 1.18x 1.12x
Yield 5.36% 6.01%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
18.10ZAR
Average target price
18.58ZAR
Spread / Average Target
+2.62%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. NTC Stock
  4. Financials Netcare Limited
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