Projected Income Statement: Essity AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,433 62,869 53,703 30,769 26,543 28,413 24,996 21,150
Change - 13.41% -14.58% -42.71% -13.73% 7.05% -12.03% -15.39%
Announcement Date 26/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 23/1/25 22/1/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,358 6,949 6,850 7,396 7,090 8,054 8,026 7,938
Change - -5.56% -1.42% 7.97% -4.14% 13.6% -0.35% -1.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,309 5,925 12,227 9,773 8,369 10,189 11,919 13,017
Change - -18.94% 106.36% -20.07% -14.37% 21.75% 16.98% 9.21%
Announcement Date 26/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 23/1/25 22/1/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 13.06% 17.01% 18.22% 18.57% 17.83% 18.35% 18.76%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 7.65% 12.09% 13.22% 13.38% 12.92% 13.47% 13.91%
EBT Margin (%) 10.29% 5.19% 8.69% 11.24% 12.39% 11.66% 12.38% 12.85%
Net margin (%) 7.07% 3.56% 6.49% 14.35% 9.14% 8.65% 9.21% 9.59%
FCF margin (%) 6% 3.79% 8.31% 6.71% 6.04% 7.3% 8.25% 8.79%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 106.43% 127.98% 46.79% 66.13% 84.35% 89.54% 91.69%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 2.89% 4.62% 10.76% 7.18% 7.04% 7.34% 7.69%
ROE 15% 8.1% 12.5% 13.4% 15.2% 14.46% 14.69% 14.68%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.77x 3.08x 2.15x 1.16x 1.03x 1.14x 0.94x 0.76x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.58x 10.61x 4.39x 3.15x 3.17x 2.79x 2.1x 1.62x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.04% 4.45% 4.66% 5.08% 5.12% 5.77% 5.55% 5.36%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.72% 34.08% 27.37% 27.89% 27.56% 32.34% 30.27% 28.58%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.67% 117.28% 56.02% 75.68% 84.72% 79.05% 67.34% 60.98%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.89 18.33 27.16 24.52 22.44 26.94 28.92 30.99
Change - -12.26% 48.18% -9.74% -8.48% 20.07% 7.36% 7.15%
Dividend per Share 1 7 7.25 7.75 8.25 - 9.185 9.705 10.23
Change - 3.57% 6.9% 6.45% - - 5.66% 5.39%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.29 95.89 100.9 126.1 124.3 133.6 143.1 154.4
Change - 12.42% 5.2% 25.01% -1.45% 7.52% 7.1% 7.9%
EPS 1 12.27 7.93 13.6 29.83 18.37 17.81 19.8 21.26
Change - -35.37% 71.5% 119.34% -38.42% -3.07% 11.2% 7.37%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 702,342 702,342 702,342 694,998 683,049 679,243 679,243 679,243
Announcement Date 26/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 23/1/25 22/1/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.1x 13.6x
PBR 2.01x 1.88x
EV / Sales 1.51x 1.43x
Yield 3.42% 3.62%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
268.40SEK
Average target price
267.80SEK
Spread / Average Target
-0.22%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

-40%: Exceptional extension
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