Projected Income Statement: Essity AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,433 62,869 53,703 30,769 26,543 29,029 26,162 22,437
Change - 13.41% -14.58% -42.71% -13.73% 9.37% -9.88% -14.24%
Announcement Date 26/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 23/1/25 22/1/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,358 6,949 6,850 7,396 7,090 7,902 8,050 7,968
Change - -5.56% -1.42% 7.97% -4.14% 11.46% 1.87% -1.01%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,309 5,925 12,227 9,773 8,369 10,435 12,297 13,383
Change - -18.94% 106.36% -20.07% -14.37% 24.69% 17.84% 8.83%
Announcement Date 26/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 23/1/25 22/1/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 13.06% 17.01% 18.22% 18.57% 17.6% 17.94% 18.46%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 7.65% 12.09% 13.22% 13.38% 12.18% 12.85% 13.35%
EBT Margin (%) 10.29% 5.19% 8.69% 11.24% 12.39% 11.12% 12.13% 12.77%
Net margin (%) 7.07% 3.56% 6.49% 14.35% 9.14% 8.23% 8.92% 9.43%
FCF margin (%) 6% 3.79% 8.31% 6.71% 6.04% 7.39% 8.36% 8.89%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 106.43% 127.98% 46.79% 66.13% 89.83% 93.65% 94.26%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 2.89% 4.62% 10.76% 7.18% 7.07% 7.36% 7.81%
ROE 15% 8.1% 12.5% 13.4% 15.2% 13.96% 14.22% 14.34%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.77x 3.08x 2.15x 1.16x 1.03x 1.17x 0.99x 0.81x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.58x 10.61x 4.39x 3.15x 3.17x 2.78x 2.13x 1.68x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.04% 4.45% 4.66% 5.08% 5.12% 5.6% 5.47% 5.29%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.72% 34.08% 27.37% 27.89% 27.56% 31.8% 30.5% 28.66%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.67% 117.28% 56.02% 75.68% 84.72% 75.73% 65.46% 59.54%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.89 18.33 27.16 24.52 22.44 26.05 29.05 31.74
Change - -12.26% 48.18% -9.74% -8.48% 16.11% 11.52% 9.25%
Dividend per Share 1 7 7.25 7.75 8.25 8.75 9.17 9.734 10.27
Change - 3.57% 6.9% 6.45% 6.06% 4.8% 6.15% 5.53%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.29 95.89 100.9 126.1 124.3 135.7 145.1 156.7
Change - 12.42% 5.2% 25.01% -1.45% 9.18% 6.94% 7.98%
EPS 1 12.27 7.93 13.6 29.83 18.37 17.14 19.57 21.24
Change - -35.37% 71.5% 119.34% -38.42% -6.72% 14.23% 8.52%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 702,342 702,342 702,342 694,998 683,049 677,842 677,842 677,842
Announcement Date 26/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 23/1/25 22/1/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.1x 13.2x
PBR 1.91x 1.79x
EV / Sales 1.45x 1.37x
Yield 3.54% 3.76%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
259.10SEK
Average target price
270.53SEK
Spread / Average Target
+4.41%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise