Projected Income Statement: Essity AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,433 62,869 53,703 30,769 26,543 28,787 25,099 21,005
Change - 13.41% -14.58% -42.71% -13.73% 8.45% -12.81% -16.31%
Announcement Date 26/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 23/1/25 22/1/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,358 6,949 6,850 7,396 7,090 7,900 8,011 7,913
Change - -5.56% -1.42% 7.97% -4.14% 11.42% 1.41% -1.22%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,309 5,925 12,227 9,773 8,369 10,434 12,299 13,338
Change - -18.94% 106.36% -20.07% -14.37% 24.67% 17.87% 8.45%
Announcement Date 26/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 23/1/25 22/1/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 13.06% 17.01% 18.22% 18.57% 17.56% 18.27% 18.74%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 7.65% 12.09% 13.22% 13.38% 12.49% 13.35% 13.86%
EBT Margin (%) 10.29% 5.19% 8.69% 11.24% 12.39% 11.16% 12.28% 12.86%
Net margin (%) 7.07% 3.56% 6.49% 14.35% 9.14% 8.38% 9.13% 9.57%
FCF margin (%) 6% 3.79% 8.31% 6.71% 6.04% 7.41% 8.42% 8.93%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 106.43% 127.98% 46.79% 66.13% 88.42% 92.29% 93.24%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 2.89% 4.62% 10.76% 7.18% 7.04% 7.44% 7.83%
ROE 15% 8.1% 12.5% 13.4% 15.2% 14.11% 14.39% 14.42%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.77x 3.08x 2.15x 1.16x 1.03x 1.16x 0.94x 0.75x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.58x 10.61x 4.39x 3.15x 3.17x 2.76x 2.04x 1.57x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.04% 4.45% 4.66% 5.08% 5.12% 5.61% 5.49% 5.3%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.72% 34.08% 27.37% 27.89% 27.56% 31.94% 30.02% 28.26%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.67% 117.28% 56.02% 75.68% 84.72% 75.71% 65.14% 59.33%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.89 18.33 27.16 24.52 22.44 26.36 29.36 31.64
Change - -12.26% 48.18% -9.74% -8.48% 17.47% 11.41% 7.75%
Dividend per Share 1 7 7.25 7.75 8.25 8.75 9.163 9.726 10.25
Change - 3.57% 6.9% 6.45% 6.06% 4.72% 6.14% 5.41%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.29 95.89 100.9 126.1 124.3 136.7 145.6 157.4
Change - 12.42% 5.2% 25.01% -1.45% 9.97% 6.53% 8.13%
EPS 1 12.27 7.93 13.6 29.83 18.37 17.33 19.85 21.43
Change - -35.37% 71.5% 119.34% -38.42% -5.68% 14.59% 7.93%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 702,342 702,342 702,342 694,998 683,049 677,755 677,755 677,755
Announcement Date 26/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 23/1/25 22/1/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16.3x 14.2x
PBR 2.06x 1.94x
EV / Sales 1.56x 1.48x
Yield 3.25% 3.45%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
282.20SEK
Average target price
271.60SEK
Spread / Average Target
-3.76%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise