Projected Income Statement: Supalai

Forecast Balance Sheet: Supalai

Forecast Balance Sheet - Supalai
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 18,264 - 22,453 29,064 34,200 31,780 32,495 32,848
Change - - - 29.44% 17.67% -7.08% 2.25% 1.09%
Announcement Date 22/2/22 21/2/23 20/2/24 25/2/25 25/2/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Supalai

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 83.27 79.23 243 141.4 254.1 225.1 247.4
Change - - 206.67% -41.8% 79.72% -11.44% 9.93%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,926 -258.7 -930.2 711.7 5,676 3,896 5,380
Change - - -259.48% 176.51% 697.52% -31.36% 38.09%
Announcement Date 22/2/22 20/2/24 25/2/25 25/2/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Supalai

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 28.96% 27.59% 23.69% 24.57% 19.4% 20.65% 20.97% 21.64%
EBIT Margin (%) 28.54% 27.22% 23.25% 23.92% 18.52% 18.39% 18.65% 19.99%
EBT Margin (%) 31.15% 30.49% 24.6% 25.44% 21.23% 22.21% 22.2% 23.33%
Net margin (%) 24.25% 23.7% 19.21% 19.84% 16.64% 17.33% 17.82% 18.5%
FCF margin (%) 13.46% - -0.83% -2.98% 2.95% 22.57% 15.38% 20.04%
FCF / Net Income (%) 55.52% - -4.32% -15.03% 17.72% 130.27% 86.31% 108.34%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.13% - 7.21% 6.79% 4.11% 4.34% 4.45% 4.88%
ROE 17.98% - 12.35% 11.94% 7.51% 7.82% 7.78% 8.33%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.16x - 3.04x 3.79x 7.31x 6.12x 6.12x 5.66x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.65x - -86.78x -31.25x 48.06x 5.6x 8.34x 6.11x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.29% - 0.25% 0.78% 0.59% 1.01% 0.89% 0.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 0.99% - 1.07% 3.17% 3.02% 4.89% 4.24% 4.26%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 2.12% - -30.62% -26.12% 19.87% 4.48% 5.78% 4.6%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.058 - -0.092 -0.3518 0.4447 2.08 2.518 3.032
Change - - - -282.39% 226.41% 367.73% 21.03% 20.46%
Dividend per Share 1 1 - 1.45 1.35 1.4 1.273 1.281 1.353
Change - - - -6.9% 3.7% -9.04% 0.61% 5.61%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.59 - 25.84 27.23 28.48 29.46 30.4 31.55
Change - - - 5.35% 4.61% 3.42% 3.22% 3.77%
EPS 1 3.63 4.19 3.07 3.17 2.09 2.248 2.334 2.568
Change - 15.43% -26.73% 3.26% -34.07% 7.58% 3.78% 10.05%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,948,141 1,953,054 1,953,054 1,953,054 1,886,454 1,899,871 1,899,871 1,899,871
Announcement Date 22/2/22 21/2/23 20/2/24 25/2/25 25/2/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.07x 6.81x
PBR 0.54x 0.52x
EV / Sales 2.47x 2.48x
Yield 8.01% 8.06%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Supalai


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Supalai
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Supalai
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - Supalai
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
15.90THB
Average target price
17.63THB
Spread / Average Target
+10.87%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Supalai