Company Valuation: Novartis AG

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 196,458 194,448 207,167 195,514 266,003 275,257 - -
Change - -1.02% 6.54% -5.62% 36.05% 3.48% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 204,649 203,482 219,178 213,458 289,870 306,689 303,517 296,847
Change - -0.57% 7.71% -2.61% 35.8% 5.8% -1.03% -2.2%
P/E 8.2x 28.3x 14.1x 16.5x 19.2x 20.5x 17.2x 14.9x
PBR 2.9x 3.23x 4.41x 4.52x 5.73x 5.81x 5.44x 4.93x
PEG - -0.4x 0x -1x 0.9x -9.82x 0.9x 1x
Capitalization / Revenue 3.81x 3.85x 4.44x 3.78x 4.69x 4.77x 4.48x 4.21x
EV / Revenue 3.96x 4.03x 4.7x 4.13x 5.11x 5.32x 4.94x 4.54x
EV / EBITDA 11.2x 10.9x 12.2x 10.2x 12.4x 13.2x 12x 10.9x
EV / EBIT 12.3x 12.2x 13.4x 10.9x 13.2x 14.1x 12.8x 11.6x
EV / FCF 15.4x 17x 16.6x 13.1x 16.5x 19.7x 17.9x 15.5x
FCF Yield 6.49% 5.87% 6.01% 7.61% 6.07% 5.07% 5.58% 6.44%
Dividend per Share 2 3.36 3.5 3.823 3.856 4.762 4.35 4.542 4.774
Rate of return 3.83% 3.87% 3.79% 3.94% 3.44% 3% 3.14% 3.3%
EPS 2 10.71 3.19 7.15 5.92 7.21 7.06 8.436 9.731
Distribution rate 31.4% 110% 53.5% 65.1% 66% 61.6% 53.8% 49.1%
Net sales 1 51,626 50,545 46,660 51,722 56,674 57,668 61,426 65,343
EBITDA 1 18,246 18,613 17,937 21,006 23,415 23,295 25,291 27,265
EBIT 1 16,588 16,665 16,372 19,494 21,889 21,811 23,642 25,568
Net income 1 24,021 6,955 14,854 11,939 13,967 14,209 15,782 17,621
Net Debt 1 8,191 9,034 12,011 17,944 23,867 31,432 28,259 21,590
Reference price 2 87.82 90.40 100.79 97.79 138.63 144.82 144.82 144.82
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,237,092 2,150,980 2,055,460 1,999,270 1,918,792 1,900,715 - -
Announcement Date 2/2/22 1/2/23 31/1/24 31/1/25 4/2/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution



P/E (N) EV / Sales (N) EV / EBITDA (N) Dividend Yield (N) Capi.($)
33.68x12.2x24.79x0.59% 1,056B
29.76x6.61x18.5x2% 645B
33.32x7.79x16.11x2.63% 465B
108.6x6.05x25.67x2.29% 368B
19.01x4.64x11.49x2.87% 335B
20.51x5.32x13.17x3.01% 275B
20.92x4.34x12.36x2.04% 255B
26.76x6.95x12.37x2.38% 229B
-45.76x6.66x26x2.18% 188B
Average 27.42x 6.73x 17.83x 2.22% 423.98B
Weighted average by Cap. 32.80x 7.85x 19.23x 1.9%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA



Year-on-year evolution of the Yield