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Market Closed -
Japan Exchange
05:30:00 30/10/26 pm AEDT
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 78,000.00 JPY | +2.15% |
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-0.48% | +37.61% |
| 30/10 | Not All AI Billions Are Equal |  |
| 30/10 | Keyence to Conduct Five-for-One Stock Split to Increase Liquidity | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Keyence Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 755,174 | 922,422 | 967,288 | 1,059,145 | 1,169,289 | 1,494,512 | 1,640,744 | 1,801,693 |
| Change | - | 22.15% | 4.86% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 27.81% | 9.78% | 9.81% |
| EBITDA 1 | 426,666 | 510,437 | 508,781 | 564,968 | 612,986 | 833,342 | 904,395 | 990,468 |
| Change | - | 19.63% | -0.32% | 11.04% | 8.5% | 35.95% | 8.53% | 9.52% |
| EBIT 1 | 418,045 | 498,914 | 495,014 | 549,775 | 595,759 | 810,120 | 883,824 | 968,986 |
| Change | - | 19.34% | -0.78% | 11.06% | 8.36% | 35.98% | 9.1% | 9.64% |
| Interest Paid | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 431,240 | 512,830 | 519,295 | 561,010 | 635,756 | 838,898 | 919,717 | 1,006,109 |
| Change | - | 18.92% | 1.26% | 8.03% | 13.32% | 31.95% | 9.63% | 9.39% |
| Net income 1 | 303,360 | 362,963 | 369,642 | 398,656 | 445,185 | 591,198 | 642,451 | 705,156 |
| Change | - | 19.65% | 1.84% | 7.85% | 11.67% | 32.8% | 8.67% | 9.76% |
| Announcement Date | 27/4/22 | 27/4/23 | 25/4/24 | 25/4/25 | 24/4/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Keyence Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -1,004,572 | -940,458 | -1,132,776 | -1,219,234 | -1,493,889 | -1,570,379 | -1,910,378 | -2,177,207 |
| Change | - | 6.38% | -20.45% | -7.63% | -22.53% | -5.12% | -21.65% | -13.97% |
| Announcement Date | 27/4/22 | 27/4/23 | 25/4/24 | 25/4/25 | 24/4/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Keyence Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 6,162 | 39,345 | 12,492 | 14,342 | 28,371 | 17,510 | 22,313 | 23,413 |
| Change | - | 538.51% | -68.25% | 14.81% | 97.82% | -38.28% | 27.43% | 4.93% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 260,342 | 143,915 | 145,124 | 395,180 | 118,293 | 525,257 | 484,421 | 562,977 |
| Change | - | -44.72% | 0.84% | 172.31% | -70.07% | 344.03% | -7.77% | 16.22% |
| Announcement Date | 27/4/22 | 27/4/23 | 25/4/24 | 25/4/25 | 24/4/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Keyence Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 56.5% | 55.34% | 52.6% | 53.34% | 52.42% | 55.76% | 55.12% | 54.97% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 55.36% | 54.09% | 51.18% | 51.91% | 50.95% | 54.21% | 53.87% | 53.78% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 57.1% | 55.6% | 53.69% | 52.97% | 54.37% | 56.13% | 56.05% | 55.84% |
| Net margin (%) | 40.17% | 39.35% | 38.21% | 37.64% | 38.07% | 39.56% | 39.16% | 39.14% |
| FCF margin (%) | 34.47% | 15.6% | 15% | 37.31% | 10.12% | 35.15% | 29.52% | 31.25% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 85.82% | 39.65% | 39.26% | 99.13% | 26.57% | 88.85% | 75.4% | 79.84% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 19.9% | 20.62% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 18.27% | 15.2% | 14.69% | 14.38% |
| ROE | 14.8% | 15.6% | 14% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 15.88% | 15.81% | 15.57% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 0.82% | 4.27% | 1.29% | 1.35% | 2.43% | 1.17% | 1.36% | 1.3% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 1.44% | 7.71% | 2.46% | 2.54% | 4.63% | 2.1% | 2.47% | 2.36% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 2.37% | 27.34% | 8.61% | 3.63% | 23.98% | 3.33% | 4.61% | 4.16% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 1,286 | 1,544 | 1,581 | 1,706 | 1,907 | 2,346 | 2,512 | 2,778 |
| Change | - | 20.04% | 2.38% | 7.94% | 11.74% | 23.04% | 7.08% | 10.6% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 200 | 300 | 300 | 350 | 550 | 675.5 | 751.3 | 830.8 |
| Change | - | 50% | 0% | 16.67% | 57.14% | 22.81% | 11.23% | 10.57% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 8,962 | 10,274 | 11,571 | 12,817 | 14,314 | 16,020 | 17,803 | 19,825 |
| Change | - | 14.63% | 12.62% | 10.77% | 11.67% | 11.92% | 11.13% | 11.36% |
| EPS 1 | 1,251 | 1,497 | 1,524 | 1,644 | 1,836 | 2,441 | 2,656 | 2,923 |
| Change | - | 19.65% | 1.84% | 7.85% | 11.67% | 32.96% | 8.83% | 10.04% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 242,526 | 242,526 | 242,526 | 242,525 | 242,525 | 242,525 | 242,525 | 242,525 |
| Announcement Date | 27/4/22 | 27/4/23 | 25/4/24 | 25/4/25 | 24/4/26 | - | - | - |
| 2027 * | 2028 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 32x | 29.4x |
| PBR | 4.87x | 4.38x |
| EV / Sales | 11.6x | 10.4x |
| Yield | 0.87% | 0.96% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Global
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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