Analysis: Interest Rates

Trump's aid cuts imperil emerging market investment cash

The United States' decision to freeze and potentially scrap its core aid agency jolted countries receiving its funding and could make it harder for emerging economies to attract private cash,...

Stagflation Is a Concern for State Street Strategist Loh

Marvin Loh, senior global macro strategist at State Street , says he is in the bear steepening camp which keeps him hesitant to really embrace duration in the bond market. ...

Indonesia's economy expands 5% in 2024, more rate cuts seen in bumpy 2025

Indonesia's economy grew 5.03% in 2024, roughly similar to the previous year's rate and in line with expectations, but the pace was the slowest in three years, official data showed on Wednesday,...

Markets confounded by Trump's Gaza proposal

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole. First off, nobody knows what to make of President Donald Trump's sudden suggestion that the United States take...

Growth in India services sector slows to more than 2-year low in Jan, PMI shows

BENGALURU - Growth in India's dominant services sector was the slowest in over two years in January amid cooling demand but remained historically strong and led to a substantial rate of hiring, a...

Tariffs, earnings eyed as China reopens

A look at the day ahead in Asian markets.  First Mexico reached agreement with the United States to put U.S. tariffs on ice, then Canada did likewise, leaving the world's attention on...

India's central bank seen cutting rates for first time since May 2020

India's central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates for the first time in nearly five years in Governor Sanjay Malhotra's first monetary policy review on Friday, aiming to boost economic...

Rates: ECB stays one step ahead

Last week was marked by meetings between the US and European central banks. Although the score was somewhat different, they did not take the market by surprise - quite the contrary.

India's January factory activity growth hit six-month high, PMI shows

India's factory activity started 2025 on a positive note, growing at the quickest pace in six months in January largely buoyed by resilient demand and strong output, a private survey showed on Monday,...

Indonesia's January inflation at 0.76% y/y, statistics bureau says

Indonesia's annual inflation rate was 0.76% in January, official data showed on Monday, dropping sharply from a rate of 1.57% in December and coming in below the lower bound of the central bank's...

India targets fiscal deficit at 4.4% for 2025-26, sets path to bring down debt

The Indian government will target a narrower fiscal deficit of 4.4% of gross domestic product for fiscal year 2025-26, down from a revised 4.8% for the current year, Finance Minister Nirmala...

China home prices, sales slip further in January, report shows

China's sales of new housing and prices for existing residential units both continued to decline in January, a leading real estate research institute said on Saturday. The average price...

China's market regulator says 'stabilising confidence' key

China's top financial market regulator said on Saturday that stabilising the market, stabilising confidence and stabilising expectations were priorities as the government works to provide better...

India financial regulators need formal impact assessment rules, government report says

India's financial sector regulators need to put in place a formal process to assess the impact of their regulations, the government's Economic Survey said on Friday. The survey,...

India bond investors eye small rise in government borrowing, expect yields to decline

The Indian federal government's market borrowing is seen rising marginally in fiscal year 2025-26, which investors expect will be easily absorbed given the improving banking liquidity and strong...

TikTok to invest $3.8 billion in Thailand data hosting project, investment board says

 ByteDance's TikTok will invest 126.8 billion baht in a data hosting service in Thailand, the country's investment board said on Wednesday. The investment was among $5 billion of...

AI panic subsides with megacap earnings on deck

A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. Wall Street steadied after Monday's freak out over AI-linked mega cap valuations, with Nvidia recouping some of its historic market cap loss...

US bond investors seek safety amid uncertainty about Trump policies, Fed outlook

U.S. bond investors are gearing up for increased volatility and staying defensive in their portfolios amid uncertainty about the impact of the Trump administration's policies and signs that the...

Rate: Double play

This week could be the first serious test for the markets, with successive meetings of the US and European central banks. In the meantime, we offer some additional information following on from last...