Projected Income Statement: Tabcorp Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Tabcorp Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,232 118 282 831 626 548 465 389
Change - -94.71% 138.98% 194.68% -24.67% -12.47% -15.15% -16.34%
Announcement Date 17/8/21 23/8/22 23/8/23 27/8/24 26/8/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Tabcorp Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 183 202.5 196.9 160.4 117.8 138 138.7 143.1
Change - 10.66% -2.77% -18.54% -26.56% 17.12% 0.55% 3.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 537 534.5 -77.6 84.8 288.7 194.7 228.8 250.4
Change - -0.47% -114.52% 209.28% 240.45% -32.56% 17.49% 9.45%
Announcement Date 17/8/21 23/8/22 23/8/23 27/8/24 26/8/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Tabcorp Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.47% 16.08% 16.06% 13.58% 14.97% 15.88% 16.2% 16.19%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.73% 4.01% 6.18% 4.16% 7.22% 7.69% 8.25% 8.32%
EBT Margin (%) 8.49% -5.74% 3.4% -69.22% 2.72% 4.17% 5.44% 6.16%
Net margin (%) 4.73% 285.51% 2.73% -58.13% 1.4% 2.01% 3.05% 3.57%
FCF margin (%) 9.44% 22.52% -3.19% 3.63% 11.04% 7.35% 8.37% 8.97%
FCF / Net Income (%) 199.63% 7.89% -116.69% -6.24% 788.8% 364.89% 274.49% 251.39%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.29% -0.23% 1.64% 0.75% 1.52% 2.22% 2.85% 3.57%
ROE 6.27% -0.38% 2.48% 1.43% 3.96% 5.34% 6.94% 7.78%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.02x 0.31x 0.72x 2.61x 1.6x 1.3x 1.05x 0.86x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.16x 0.22x -3.63x 9.8x 2.17x 2.81x 2.03x 1.55x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.22% 8.53% 8.09% 6.86% 4.51% 5.21% 5.08% 5.13%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.53% 53.07% 50.36% 50.49% 30.09% 32.8% 31.34% 31.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 34.08% 37.89% -253.74% 189.15% 40.8% 70.86% 60.65% 57.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3289 0.3312 0.053 0.11 0.177 0.136 0.1178 0.1557
Change - 0.71% -84% 107.55% 60.91% -23.17% -13.41% 32.22%
Dividend per Share 1 0.145 0.13 0.023 0.013 0.02 0.0267 0.0323 0.035
Change - -10.34% -82.31% -43.48% 53.85% 33.35% 21.22% 8.32%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.023 1.219 1.173 0.55 0.5491 0.5505 0.554 0.5576
Change - -59.69% -3.77% -53.1% -0.16% 0.25% 0.63% 0.65%
EPS 1 0.123 3.05 0.029 -0.596 0.016 0.0221 0.0383 0.0441
Change - 2,379.67% -99.05% -2,155.17% 102.68% 38.19% 73.13% 15.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,216,316 2,223,114 2,223,114 2,275,721 2,279,558 2,285,954 2,285,954 2,285,954
Announcement Date 17/8/21 23/8/22 23/8/23 27/8/24 26/8/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 35.7x 20.6x
PBR 1.44x 1.43x
EV / Sales 0.89x 0.83x
Yield 3.38% 4.09%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
0.7900AUD
Average target price
0.9996AUD
Spread / Average Target
+26.54%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. TAH Stock
  4. Financials Tabcorp Holdings Limited