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Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 286.30 DKK | +2.14% |
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+0.85% | -12.22% |
| 08:18pm | Berenberg Ups Novo Nordisk Price Target on Expected Wegovy Volume Growth; Buy Rating Kept | MT |
| 07:17pm | Hacking Group Claims Theft of Novo Nordisk Data | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Novo Nordisk A/S
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 140,800 | 176,954 | 232,261 | 290,403 | 309,064 | 292,682 | 298,714 | 318,716 |
| Change | - | 25.68% | 31.26% | 25.03% | 6.43% | -5.3% | 2.06% | 6.7% |
| EBITDA 1 | 64,669 | 82,171 | 111,987 | 147,446 | 149,640 | 142,190 | 141,345 | 151,682 |
| Change | - | 27.06% | 36.29% | 31.66% | 1.49% | -4.98% | -0.59% | 7.31% |
| EBIT 1 | 58,644 | 74,809 | 102,574 | 128,339 | 127,658 | 121,891 | 119,730 | 128,837 |
| Change | - | 27.56% | 37.11% | 25.12% | -0.53% | -4.52% | -1.77% | 7.61% |
| Interest Paid 1 | 436 | -5,747 | 2,100 | -1,148 | 2,882 | -1,252 | -3,354 | -2,832 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 59,080 | 69,062 | 104,674 | 127,191 | 130,540 | 127,280 | 120,040 | 128,582 |
| Change | - | 16.9% | 51.57% | 21.51% | 2.63% | -2.5% | -5.69% | 7.12% |
| Net income 1 | 47,757 | 55,525 | 83,683 | 100,988 | 102,434 | 99,167 | 93,894 | 101,121 |
| Change | - | 16.27% | 50.71% | 20.68% | 1.43% | -3.19% | -5.32% | 7.7% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/22 | 1/2/23 | 31/1/24 | 5/2/25 | 3/2/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Novo Nordisk A/S
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 9,160 | 2,210 | -3,224 | 76,479 | 103,996 | 117,635 | 114,367 | 100,302 |
| Change | - | -75.87% | -245.88% | 2,472.18% | 35.98% | 13.11% | -2.78% | -12.3% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/22 | 1/2/23 | 31/1/24 | 5/2/25 | 3/2/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Novo Nordisk A/S
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 6,335 | 12,146 | 25,806 | 47,164 | 60,140 | 55,426 | 36,469 | 29,931 |
| Change | - | 91.73% | 112.47% | 82.76% | 27.51% | -7.84% | -34.2% | -17.93% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 29,319 | 57,362 | 68,326 | 73,804 | 58,962 | 50,535 | 73,557 | 79,548 |
| Change | - | 95.65% | 19.11% | 8.02% | -20.11% | -14.29% | 45.56% | 8.15% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/22 | 1/2/23 | 31/1/24 | 5/2/25 | 3/2/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Novo Nordisk A/S
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 45.93% | 46.44% | 48.22% | 50.77% | 48.42% | 48.9% | 47.32% | 47.64% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 41.65% | 42.28% | 44.16% | 44.19% | 41.3% | 41.64% | 40.08% | 40.47% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 41.96% | 39.03% | 45.07% | 43.8% | 42.24% | 43.27% | 40.1% | 40.34% |
| Net margin (%) | 33.92% | 31.38% | 36.03% | 34.78% | 33.14% | 33.75% | 31.41% | 31.76% |
| FCF margin (%) | 20.82% | 32.42% | 29.42% | 25.41% | 19.08% | 17.28% | 24.65% | 24.98% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 61.39% | 103.31% | 81.65% | 73.08% | 57.56% | 51.21% | 78.47% | 78.66% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 28.14% | 25.48% | 30.12% | 25.88% | 20.31% | 18.53% | 16.64% | 17.06% |
| ROE | 71.24% | 72% | 88.07% | 80.78% | 60.7% | 44.63% | 37.06% | 36.12% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.14x | 0.03x | - | 0.52x | 0.69x | 0.82x | 0.81x | 0.66x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.31x | 0.04x | - | 1.04x | 1.76x | 2.33x | 1.55x | 1.26x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.5% | 6.86% | 11.11% | 16.24% | 19.46% | 18.96% | 12.22% | 9.4% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 9.8% | 14.78% | 23.04% | 31.99% | 40.19% | 38.77% | 25.83% | 19.73% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 21.61% | 21.17% | 37.77% | 63.9% | 102% | 109.68% | 49.58% | 37.63% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 11.94 | 17.36 | 24.23 | 27.1 | 26.78 | 22.59 | 24.87 | 27.12 |
| Change | - | 45.37% | 39.6% | 11.85% | -1.2% | -15.63% | 10.06% | 9.05% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 9.4 | 11.4 | 11.7 | 11.35 | 10.87 | 11.85 |
| Change | - | 19.23% | 51.61% | 21.28% | 2.63% | -3.03% | -4.18% | 9.03% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 15.31 | 18.31 | 23.77 | 32.31 | - | 51.72 | 57.54 | 64.59 |
| Change | - | 19.56% | 29.84% | 35.92% | - | - | 11.26% | 12.25% |
| EPS 1 | 10.37 | 12.22 | 18.62 | 22.63 | 23.03 | 22.61 | 21.11 | 23.09 |
| Change | - | 17.84% | 52.37% | 21.54% | 1.77% | -1.8% | -6.67% | 9.41% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 4,557,801 | 4,517,704 | 4,458,288 | 4,441,340 | 4,443,479 | 4,429,056 | 4,429,056 | 4,429,056 |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/22 | 1/2/23 | 31/1/24 | 5/2/25 | 3/2/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 12.4x | 13.3x |
| PBR | 5.4x | 4.86x |
| EV / Sales | 4.64x | 4.54x |
| Yield | 4.05% | 3.89% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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