Projected Income Statement: LVMH

Forecast Balance Sheet: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,607 27,847 30,671 31,143 27,567 23,980 20,056 15,952
Change - 189.86% 10.14% 1.54% -11.48% -13.01% -16.36% -20.46%
Announcement Date 27/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 28/1/25 27/1/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,664 4,969 7,478 5,531 4,567 4,873 4,864 5,017
Change - 86.52% 50.49% -26.04% -17.43% 6.71% -0.2% 3.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 13,531 10,113 8,104 10,478 11,333 12,231 13,068 14,614
Change - -25.26% -19.87% 29.29% 8.16% 7.92% 6.85% 11.83%
Announcement Date 27/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 28/1/25 27/1/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.79% 34.45% 34.8% 32.32% 31.87% 30.5% 31.69% 31.61%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.71% 26.59% 26.47% 23.11% 21.97% 21.74% 22.55% 22.97%
EBT Margin (%) 26.8% 25.4% 25.1% 21.39% 20.66% 20.68% 21.49% 22.09%
Net margin (%) 18.74% 17.79% 17.61% 14.82% 13.46% 13.77% 14.99% 15.54%
FCF margin (%) 21.07% 12.77% 9.41% 12.37% 14.02% 15.08% 15.33% 16.14%
FCF / Net Income (%) 112.42% 71.8% 53.41% 83.49% 104.18% 109.54% 102.29% 103.89%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.29% 10.84% 10.9% 12.37% 7.47% 8.06% 8.93% 9.49%
ROE 28.48% 27.55% 26.13% 27.88% 16.12% 15.5% 16.83% 17.18%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.42x 1.02x 1.02x 1.14x 1.07x 0.97x 0.74x 0.56x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.71x 2.75x 3.78x 2.97x 2.43x 1.96x 1.53x 1.09x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 6.28% 8.68% 6.53% 5.65% 6.01% 5.71% 5.54%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.59% 18.21% 24.94% 20.21% 17.73% 19.7% 18.01% 17.53%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.69% 49.13% 92.28% 52.79% 40.3% 39.85% 37.22% 34.33%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 37.01 35.49 36.78 37.87 37.9 34.22 36.81 39.72
Change - -4.1% 3.63% 2.98% 0.08% -9.7% 7.57% 7.89%
Dividend per Share 1 7 12 13 13 13 12.95 14.1 15.49
Change - 71.43% 8.33% 0% 0% -0.38% 8.9% 9.82%
Book Value Per Share 1 93.56 109.8 122.2 135.1 135.5 144 156.8 169.4
Change - 17.31% 11.29% 10.62% 0.28% 6.28% 8.86% 8.06%
EPS 1 23.89 28.03 30.33 25.12 21.85 22.3 25.62 28.44
Change - 17.33% 8.21% -17.18% -13.02% 2.06% 14.87% 11.01%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 503,785 501,103 499,410 499,744 495,126 496,391 496,391 496,391
Announcement Date 27/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 28/1/25 27/1/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 20.7x 18x
PBR 3.2x 2.94x
EV / Sales 3.12x 2.92x
Yield 2.81% 3.06%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
460.85EUR
Average target price
591.00EUR
Spread / Average Target
+28.24%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise