Projected Income Statement: LVMH

Forecast Balance Sheet: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,607 27,847 30,671 31,143 27,567 23,302 19,512 14,330
Change - 189.86% 10.14% 1.54% -11.48% -15.47% -16.26% -26.56%
Announcement Date 27/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 28/1/25 27/1/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,664 4,969 7,478 5,531 4,567 4,868 4,904 5,063
Change - 86.52% 50.49% -26.04% -17.43% 6.6% 0.73% 3.25%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 13,531 10,113 8,104 10,478 11,333 12,169 13,224 14,664
Change - -25.26% -19.87% 29.29% 8.16% 7.38% 8.67% 10.89%
Announcement Date 27/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 28/1/25 27/1/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.79% 34.45% 34.8% 32.32% 31.87% 30.57% 31.77% 31.46%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.71% 26.59% 26.47% 23.11% 21.97% 22.11% 22.83% 23.51%
EBT Margin (%) 26.8% 25.4% 25.1% 21.39% 20.66% 21.04% 21.71% 22.58%
Net margin (%) 18.74% 17.79% 17.61% 14.82% 13.46% 14.13% 15.27% 16.05%
FCF margin (%) 21.07% 12.77% 9.41% 12.37% 14.02% 14.87% 15.29% 15.99%
FCF / Net Income (%) 112.42% 71.8% 53.41% 83.49% 104.18% 105.22% 100.14% 99.6%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.29% 10.84% 10.9% 12.37% 7.47% 8.17% 9.2% 9.7%
ROE 28.48% 27.55% 26.13% 27.88% 16.12% 16.07% 17.44% 17.59%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.42x 1.02x 1.02x 1.14x 1.07x 0.93x 0.71x 0.5x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.71x 2.75x 3.78x 2.97x 2.43x 1.91x 1.48x 0.98x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 6.28% 8.68% 6.53% 5.65% 5.95% 5.67% 5.52%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.59% 18.21% 24.94% 20.21% 17.73% 19.45% 17.85% 17.54%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.69% 49.13% 92.28% 52.79% 40.3% 40.01% 37.08% 34.53%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 37.01 35.49 36.78 37.87 37.9 34.18 37.49 39.17
Change - -4.1% 3.63% 2.98% 0.08% -9.81% 9.67% 4.47%
Dividend per Share 1 7 12 13 13 13 13.2 14.5 15.94
Change - 71.43% 8.33% 0% 0% 1.56% 9.82% 9.95%
Book Value Per Share 1 93.56 109.8 122.2 135.1 135.5 146.5 158.6 171
Change - 17.31% 11.29% 10.62% 0.28% 8.11% 8.28% 7.83%
EPS 1 23.89 28.03 30.33 25.12 21.85 23.21 26.49 30.06
Change - 17.33% 8.21% -17.18% -13.02% 6.22% 14.13% 13.5%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 503,785 501,103 499,410 499,744 495,126 496,391 496,391 496,391
Announcement Date 27/1/22 26/1/23 25/1/24 28/1/25 27/1/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 21.7x 19x
PBR 3.44x 3.18x
EV / Sales 3.34x 3.12x
Yield 2.62% 2.87%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
504.50EUR
Average target price
643.24EUR
Spread / Average Target
+27.50%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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