Projected Income Statement: Kingdom Holding Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Kingdom Holding Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 15,392 14,921 13,489 10,908 11,244 12,725 13,311 -
Change - -3.06% -9.6% -19.13% 3.08% 13.17% 4.61% -
Announcement Date 28/2/22 30/3/23 26/3/24 17/3/25 24/3/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Kingdom Holding Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 161.7 151.2 379.2 276.5 661.3 666 430
Change - -6.5% 150.86% -27.08% 139.13% 0.71% -35.44%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 628 1,603 323.5 2,398 324.9 91.4 451
Change - 155.27% -79.82% 641.34% -86.45% -71.87% 393.44%
Announcement Date 28/2/22 30/3/23 26/3/24 17/3/25 24/3/26 - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Kingdom Holding Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 45.7% 54.75% 50.53% 43.28% 47.18% 38.05% 39.49% -
EBIT Margin (%) 37.31% 46.81% 36.89% 35.04% 40.13% 29.45% 31.02% -
EBT Margin (%) - - - - - - - -
Net margin (%) 67.45% 279.19% 37.48% 51.74% 79.61% 43.94% 43.92% 44.39%
FCF margin (%) 41.64% 64.33% 11.97% 100.32% 12.07% 3.71% 16.77% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 61.72% 23.04% 31.93% 193.88% 15.16% 8.44% 38.19% -

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE 3.3% 22.58% 3.08% 3.34% 4.4% 1.87% 2.05% 2.21%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 22.33x 10.94x 9.88x 10.54x 8.85x 13.57x 12.53x -
Debt / Free cash flow 24.51x 9.31x 41.7x 4.55x 34.6x 139.22x 29.51x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.72% 6.07% 14.03% 11.57% 24.56% 27.02% 15.99% -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 23.46% 11.08% 27.77% 26.73% 52.07% 71% 40.49% -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 25.74% 9.43% 117.23% 11.53% 203.52% 728.67% 95.34% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.55 0.28 0.28
Change - 0% -0.01% 0.01% 0% 96.43% -49.09% 0%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 0.27 1.88 0.27 - - 0.29 0.32 0.34
Change - 596.3% -85.64% - - - 10.34% 6.25%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,705,882 3,705,882 3,705,882 3,705,882 3,705,882 3,705,882 3,705,882 3,705,882
Announcement Date 28/2/22 30/3/23 26/3/24 17/3/25 24/3/26 - - -
1SAR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 46.1x 41.8x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 25.3x 23.4x
Yield 4.11% 2.09%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
-
Investor
Global
-
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
1
Last Close Price
13.38SAR
Average target price
14.00SAR
Spread / Average Target
+4.63%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

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