Okay. Thanks, Greg and Johnson, and thanks to the Smartkarma team for hosting this call, and welcome to everybody.
As Greg said, I'll give you a quick overview of the PNG economy and the financial sector to give everybody on the call a bit of context in terms of Papua New Guinea.
Starting with the economy. Total GDP for the country is in kina terms about PGK 120 billion. In U.S. dollar terms, that's about USD 30 billion. So that's total GDP. In terms of the 2 key contributors or the 2 key splits of that, the resources sector comprises about 35% and the domestic sector, about 65%.
And in terms of the resources sector, people maybe familiar with the fact that PNG is a very resource-rich country in terms of mineral wealth, soft commodities, agriculture and the likes. So the main exports are gold, copper, nickel in terms of mining. Gas and oil, gas is by far the biggest -- the two in terms of export earnings. Agriculture, cocoa, coffee, vanilla and palm oil are the main contributors. In terms of fisheries, tuna is a big export driver. PNG has one of the biggest tuna fisheries in the world. I think it might be #2. And forestry is also a big export driver as well.
In terms of macro growth in terms of Papua New Guinea, it's relatively stable. As you see on the graph, it's been -- we had a poor year in 2021. That was a year of weak export prices in particular and COVID, obviously. But since then, there's been a relatively good bounce back.
So what we're doing is we're forecasting growth at around that 3% level, 2.7% in 2023. And a key driver of that is we've got a large gold mine here in Papua New Guinea called Porgera Mine, which has come online recently. It's been out of action for a couple of years, while the mining lease was renegotiated. And that lease for the various miners has been extended for -- I think it was 10 years just recently.
The retail/wholesale sector, that's a big driver of the economy in Papua New Guinea. It's a sector that we've got good exposure to. And it's a sector that's growing geographically. As population moves out of regional areas and country towards cities, and there's 3 or 4 main cities that people tend to go to, retail and household businesses are expanding within the cities, but also geographically. And as I said, we've got some good exposure to that in terms of our lending.
Inflation in the last 3 years has been around that 4%, 4.5% level. Obviously, with a weak kina, the kina has been a weak currency just over the last 12 months and that's projected to continue for a period. There's a bit of inflationary pressure. Papua New Guinea is mainly an import-based economy and, therefore, there's inflationary pressures with a weak kina.
Therefore, interest rates have been trending up locally. The government has been tightening monetary policy, and they've been doing a few things just to try to keep a bit of a lid on inflation without putting too much pressure on the economy. So we've seen interest rates domestically going up, both the short end of the yield curve and the long end. So it's a bit of a structural shift upwards.
And there's been higher yields in government securities. So that's a bit of a backdrop that we're operating in terms of the investment part of our business and our balance sheet. So interest rates have been increasing, which is good in terms of the excess liquidity or the liquidity that we've got.
The FX situation, some of you may be aware that the foreign exchange situation in Papua New Guinea has been relatively tight over recent years for various reasons that we can get into. That has improved over the last 12 to 18 months. The government, in conjunction with the IMF, has been putting in place very -- various monetary tools, specifically, and tools around how the foreign exchange market works in the country. So that's leading to an improved situation in terms of FX flows into the country.
And we've really noticed the fact that the foreign exchange order books for trade-related foreign exchange have improved dramatically over the last probably 3 or 4 months. Prior to that, the wait to get foreign exchange was out to 4 or 5 months, and has dropped down to a few weeks now.
I might go to the next slide, if I could. Thank you. In terms of the economy, the big driver -- or a big driver is resources. There are many resource projects planned for the country over the next few years. On this slide, we've listed the major ones. Papua LNG, P'nyang LNG and Wafi-Golpu.
The first 2 are gas projects. We've got the main proponents listed there, so Total and ExxonMobil. These are sizable projects in terms of the country. Wafi-Golpu, that's a gold and copper mine, Newmont and Harmony, and that's sort of around PGK 5.4 billion.
The main purpose of this slide is to really show people that there is very large projects that are coming online over the next few years. And if you look at just these 3 relative to the size of the economy, these 3 are nearly the size of the country's entire GDP.
If you add into that, there's a lot of other projects in country that relate to infrastructure build. There's a project -- or a program called Connect PNG. That's all about connecting the country's roading development. That's a multibillion-dollar infrastructure project. There's rebuilds in terms of hospitals, airports. There's port redevelopments. Lae, which is a city in the Northeast of the country is where the largest ports in the -- commercial ports in the country.
There's a very large expansion planned for the port there. There's an offshore gas projects. And also there's another gas find. It's called Wildebeest. That's an exploration well at the moment, but early indications are that could be PNG's largest gas find to date.
So the main message that I'd like to leave is that the long-term growth profile for the country is very strong, and that is really the environment that we're operating in, that there's a very long-term runway of growth that underwrites economic growth.
The projection that we've got right at the beginning, that 3%, that excludes all of these projects. So as these projects come through, we'll see a lift in GDP growth. And obviously, there'll be a lot of spillover into the economy, into businesses, into personal consumption. And that's something that's -- that happened when the very first gas project got underway in the country about 10 to 12 years ago.
Very quickly in terms of financial sector overview. There are 4 commercial banks in the country. They've been around for -- all of them quite a long time. There have been 2 new commercial bank licenses issued. There were up to 6, but the 2 new ones are very, very recent. They're very small businesses. One is a former finance business, and one is a former savings and loans business.
So in terms of commercial banks, 4 historical ones that have been in country for a period of time, 2 newer ones. There's quite a few finance companies. They tend to operate in the personal lending space, and there's 12 of those. There's 4 superannuation funds in the country. The commercial banks and the superannuation funds are the 2 largest components of the financial services sector. In terms of assets, the banks are sitting at around PGK 16 billion with liabilities of about PGK 30 billion, and the superfunds are sitting at about PGK 19 billion.
There's also a range of savings and loan societies and microfinance companies that tend to operate in the financial inclusion space. There's about, yes, 18 in savings and loans, 4 are microfinance. And there's also 4 life insurance and general insurance companies in Papua New Guinea. So that provides a bit of an overview of the economy and also the financial sector in the country.
And happy to take questions as we're going or later on. Thanks, Johnson.