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Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 45.94 EUR | -0.72% |
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-0.20% | -1.99% |
| 07:04pm | DHL Express keeps investment plans in Middle East despite war | RE |
| 06:48pm | DHL Express Europe CEO: Investments in the Middle East continue as region has a key role in long term | RE |
Projected Income Statement: DHL Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 81,747 | 94,436 | 81,758 | 84,186 | 82,855 | 84,541 | 88,335 | 90,968 |
| Change | - | 15.52% | -13.42% | 2.97% | -1.58% | 2.03% | 4.49% | 2.98% |
| EBITDA 1 | 11,746 | 12,613 | 10,822 | 10,606 | 10,970 | 11,262 | 11,975 | 12,415 |
| Change | - | 7.38% | -14.2% | -2% | 3.43% | 2.66% | 6.33% | 3.67% |
| EBIT 1 | 7,978 | 8,436 | 6,345 | 5,886 | 6,103 | 6,330 | 6,883 | 7,182 |
| Change | - | 5.74% | -24.79% | -7.23% | 3.69% | 3.72% | 8.74% | 4.34% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -619 | -525 | -829 | -823 | - | -915.3 | -844.8 | -826.3 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 7,359 | 7,911 | 5,516 | 5,063 | 5,246 | 5,342 | 5,903 | 6,326 |
| Change | - | 7.5% | -30.27% | -8.21% | 3.61% | 1.83% | 10.51% | 7.16% |
| Net income 1 | 5,053 | 5,359 | 3,677 | 3,332 | 3,501 | 3,627 | 4,003 | 4,285 |
| Change | - | 6.06% | -31.39% | -9.38% | 5.07% | 3.6% | 10.36% | 7.04% |
| Announcement Date | 9/3/22 | 9/3/23 | 6/3/24 | 6/3/25 | 5/3/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: DHL Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 16,366 | 15,856 | 17,739 | 18,998 | - | 24,620 | 23,786 | 26,015 |
| Change | - | -3.12% | 11.88% | 7.1% | - | - | -3.39% | 9.37% |
| Announcement Date | 9/3/22 | 9/3/23 | 6/3/24 | 6/3/25 | 5/3/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: DHL Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 3,546 | 4,123 | 3,370 | 3,066 | 3,163 | 3,355 | 3,448 |
| Change | - | 16.27% | -18.26% | -9.02% | - | 6.07% | 2.77% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 4,092 | 3,067 | 2,942 | 5,656 | 3,100 | 3,604 | 3,880 |
| Change | - | -25.05% | -4.08% | 92.25% | - | 16.29% | 7.64% |
| Announcement Date | 9/3/22 | 9/3/23 | 6/3/24 | 6/3/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: DHL Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 14.37% | 13.36% | 13.24% | 12.6% | 13.24% | 13.32% | 13.56% | 13.65% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 9.76% | 8.93% | 7.76% | 6.99% | 7.37% | 7.49% | 7.79% | 7.89% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 9% | 8.38% | 6.75% | 6.01% | 6.33% | 6.32% | 6.68% | 6.95% |
| Net margin (%) | 6.18% | 5.67% | 4.5% | 3.96% | 4.23% | 4.29% | 4.53% | 4.71% |
| FCF margin (%) | 5.01% | 3.25% | 3.6% | 6.72% | - | 3.67% | 4.08% | 4.27% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 80.98% | 57.23% | 80.01% | 169.75% | - | 85.45% | 90.04% | 90.55% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 8.5% | 8.13% | 7.98% | 7.41% | - | 4.96% | 5.49% | 5.76% |
| ROE | 30.8% | 25.35% | 19.22% | 17.71% | - | 15.84% | 16.72% | 16.49% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.39x | 1.26x | 1.64x | 1.79x | - | 2.19x | 1.99x | 2.1x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 4x | 5.17x | 6.03x | 3.36x | - | 7.94x | 6.6x | 6.7x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.34% | 4.37% | 4.12% | 3.64% | - | 3.74% | 3.8% | 3.79% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 30.19% | 32.69% | 31.14% | 28.91% | - | 28.09% | 28.02% | 27.78% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 86.66% | 134.43% | 114.55% | 54.21% | - | 102.05% | 93.09% | 88.87% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 8.11 | 9.03 | 7.79 | 7.343 | - | 6.479 | 6.769 | 6.581 |
| Change | - | 11.34% | -13.73% | -5.74% | - | - | 4.46% | -2.78% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.8 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | 1.946 | 1.999 | 2.075 |
| Change | - | 2.78% | 0% | 0% | - | - | 2.69% | 3.81% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 15.45 | 19.14 | 16.01 | 15.95 | - | 20.51 | 21.89 | 23.64 |
| Change | - | 23.91% | -16.36% | -0.4% | - | - | 6.75% | 7.99% |
| EPS 1 | 4.01 | 4.33 | 3.04 | 2.81 | 3.04 | 3.196 | 3.591 | 3.871 |
| Change | - | 7.98% | -29.79% | -7.57% | 8.19% | 5.14% | 12.35% | 7.79% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,224,639 | 1,205,059 | 1,182,263 | 1,153,116 | 1,121,383 | 1,116,978 | 1,116,978 | 1,116,978 |
| Announcement Date | 9/3/22 | 9/3/23 | 6/3/24 | 6/3/25 | 5/3/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 14.5x | 12.9x |
| PBR | 2.26x | 2.11x |
| EV / Sales | 0.9x | 0.85x |
| Yield | 4.21% | 4.32% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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