Projected Income Statement: Danone

Forecast Balance Sheet: Danone

Forecast Balance Sheet - Danone
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 10,500 10,107 10,221 8,601 8,431 9,032 7,992 7,144
Change - -3.74% 1.13% -15.85% -1.98% 7.13% -11.51% -10.61%
Announcement Date 23/2/22 22/2/23 22/2/24 26/2/25 20/2/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,043 873 847 923 1,055 1,108 1,174 1,199
Change - -16.3% -2.98% 8.97% 14.3% 5.04% 5.97% 2.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,431 2,091 2,633 3,003 2,799 2,421 2,797 2,940
Change - -13.99% 25.92% 14.05% -6.79% -13.5% 15.53% 5.08%
Announcement Date 23/2/22 22/2/23 22/2/24 26/2/25 20/2/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.95% 18.94% 18.44% 17.26% 18.4% 17.49% 17.73% 17.89%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.74% 12.21% 12.6% 13% 13.43% 13.63% 13.9% 14.13%
EBT Margin (%) 8.22% 6.62% 6.1% 10.95% 9.3% 11.6% 12.16% 12.67%
Net margin (%) 7.92% 3.47% 3.19% 7.38% 6.69% 8.34% 8.65% 8.97%
FCF margin (%) 10.01% 7.56% 9.53% 10.97% 10.26% 8.6% 9.44% 9.57%
FCF / Net Income (%) 126.35% 218.04% 298.86% 148.59% 153.37% 103.06% 109.15% 106.71%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.96% 4.86% 5.09% 4.5% 5.45% 5.16% 5.45% 5.71%
ROE 11.49% 12.53% 13.39% 13.81% 14.18% 14.4% 14.7% 15.01%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.28x 1.93x 2.01x 1.82x 1.68x 1.83x 1.52x 1.3x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.32x 4.83x 3.88x 2.86x 3.01x 3.73x 2.86x 2.43x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.3% 3.16% 3.07% 3.37% 3.87% 3.93% 3.96% 3.9%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.66% 16.66% 16.63% 19.53% 21.02% 22.5% 22.36% 21.82%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 42.9% 41.75% 32.17% 30.74% 37.69% 45.77% 41.98% 40.79%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.374 4.635 5.364 5.945 5.858 5.292 5.848 6.329
Change - -13.75% 15.72% 10.83% -1.46% -9.66% 10.5% 8.23%
Dividend per Share 1 1.94 2 2.1 2.15 2.25 2.335 2.487 2.64
Change - 3.09% 5% 2.38% 4.65% 3.8% 6.47% 6.16%
Book Value Per Share 1 27.07 28.02 25.2 25.1 26.22 27.92 29.43 31.1
Change - 3.52% -10.07% -0.4% 4.47% 6.48% 5.41% 5.66%
EPS 1 2.94 1.48 1.3 3.13 2.82 3.723 4.07 4.38
Change - -49.66% -12.16% 140.77% -9.9% 32.01% 9.32% 7.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 650,849 626,246 641,543 643,653 640,218 643,298 643,298 643,298
Announcement Date 23/2/22 22/2/23 22/2/24 26/2/25 20/2/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.8x 17.2x
PBR 2.5x 2.37x
EV / Sales 1.91x 1.79x
Yield 3.35% 3.56%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Danone


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Danone
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Danone
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
MarketScreener Ratings - Danone
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
69.80EUR
Average target price
78.80EUR
Spread / Average Target
+12.89%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Danone