Company Valuation: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Capitalization 1 93,498 70,665 88,509 113,753 204,579 211,909 - -
Change - -24.42% 25.25% 28.52% 79.85% 3.58% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 146,057 126,226 125,891 146,675 230,488 212,882 190,540 164,962
Change - -13.58% -0.27% 16.51% 57.14% -7.64% -10.5% -13.42%
P/E ratio 12.3x 12.3x 9.08x 5.84x 14.8x 8.63x 9.02x 9.06x
PBR 1.04x - 1x 1.04x - 2.04x 1.72x 1.47x
PEG - -0.7x 0.1x 0.1x 6.29x 0.1x -2.11x -19.21x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.35x 0.24x 0.39x 0.48x 0.85x 0.82x 0.83x 0.83x
EV / Revenue 0.54x 0.43x 0.56x 0.62x 0.96x 0.82x 0.75x 0.65x
EV / EBITDA 7.53x 4.65x 4.44x 4.05x 5.95x 3.37x 3.03x 2.58x
EV / EBIT 13x 7.7x 7.14x 6.09x 8.39x 4.15x 3.89x 3.06x
EV / FCF 5.37x 5.45x 6.25x 6.53x 9.18x 7.11x 4.85x 4.62x
FCF Yield 18.6% 18.3% 16% 15.3% 10.9% 14.1% 20.6% 21.6%
Dividend per Share 2 0.032 - 0.08 0.217 0.27 0.5401 0.5778 0.5447
Rate of return 0.91% - 2.26% 5.14% 2.47% 4.81% 5.15% 4.85%
EPS 2 0.286 0.239 0.39 0.722 0.739 1.3 1.244 1.238
Distribution rate 11.2% - 20.5% 30.1% 36.5% 41.5% 46.4% 44%
Net sales 1 269,748 290,988 225,071 237,066 241,125 259,332 254,722 255,689
EBITDA 1 19,392 27,122 28,340 36,247 38,714 63,245 62,933 63,830
EBIT 1 11,208 16,393 17,643 24,083 27,478 51,316 49,022 53,875
Net income 1 5,080 4,192 6,717 12,400 12,674 22,279 21,319 21,240
Net Debt 1 52,560 55,561 37,382 32,923 25,910 973.5 -21,369 -46,947
Reference price 2 3.51 2.94 3.54 4.22 10.94 11.22 11.22 11.22
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 17,022,673 17,161,592 17,161,592 17,156,499 17,155,632 17,154,971 - -
Announcement Date 22/3/22 21/3/23 27/3/24 26/3/25 27/3/26 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
8.63x0.82x3.37x4.81% 31.09B
11.85x2.04x7.05x - 55.67B
14.96x1.08x8.42x0.54% 24.93B
13.41x1x6.07x4.68% 21.54B
8.78x1.16x5.19x0.61% 17.31B
9.91x2.43x6.98x5.11% 13.29B
8.16x1.59x5.24x5.48% 11.39B
11.37x - - 2.78% 11.07B
14.39x4.18x9.27x2.38% 8.71B
11.02x2.85x7.14x4.76% 7.74B
Average 11.25x 1.90x 6.52x 3.46% 20.27B
Weighted average by Cap. 11.36x 1.65x 6.34x 3.35%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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